Deficits, Downgrades, and Interest Rates: Factors Shaping the Bond Market
What We Are Watching for in June Tariff updates. The 90-day pause on reciprocal tariffs that was announced in April is scheduled to expire in early July. Meanwhile, the US is negotiating with various countries while new tariff announcements have continued apace. Market action over the past two months reveals that when tariffs are expected […]
Economic Indicators Are High. Investment Valuations Are Higher.
By Ellen Hazen, CFA®, Chief Market Strategist What We Are Watching in January and in 2025: As we look to 2025, we see a continuation of many of the trends we observed in 2024. Economic indicators have generally remained strong, and we expect this to continue in 2025. Corporate profits are on track for another […]
Is Gold the New Gold?
By Ellen Hazen, CFA®, Chief Market Strategist October Takeaways: Economic surprises in October were uniformly positive. Starting with the shockingly strong September payrolls number (254,000 vs. expectations of 150,000), data consistently indicate a strong economy. The unemployment rate decreased from 4.2% to 4.1%. Monthly retail sales growth was expected to be 0.1% month-over-month and was […]